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Li Yining: The Inflation Warning Line Can Be Raised To 4.5%.

2010/10/18 9:44:00 40

2010 Ward Wealth Expo Li Yining Inflation Warning Line


"On 16 th,"

2010 Ward fortune Fair

"Deputy director and economist of the Economic Committee of the CPPCC National Committee

Li Yining

It is pointed out that China can still maintain its economic growth rate of 9% in the near future.

Warning line of inflation rate

It should not be limited to 3%, but can be increased to 4.5%.


Li Yining said that if international oil prices, iron ore prices and grain prices continue to rise, imported inflation will be inevitable.

3% of the inflation rate is applicable to the west, and China is likely to maintain a 9% growth rate in the near future.

If 9% of the economic growth rate also takes 3% inflation rate as a warning line, it will bring a lot of problems to the economy.

The inflation rate of 4.5% can be regarded as a warning line and is acceptable to society.


China's CPI rose 3.5% in August, a 22 month high, with analysts expecting a further high of CPI in September.


Li Yining also pointed out that the current active fiscal policy should not be easily withdrawn.

"The lessons of 90s" are very impressive. If a sharp turn develops, there will be triangular debts, and there will be uncompleted residential buildings. If deflation is excessive, deflation will take shape.

We must keep it for a while, then wait for a period, and then exit according to circumstances.

He said.


The "2010 Ward fortune fair" was hosted by Bank of communications for two days in China World Trade Center, Beijing.

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